Ideas and comments from a unique perspective from the analyst who has already been there when TSHTF...twice.
Delicious collection of must-read silvertard articles.
email:strongman.shelford@gmail.com

viernes, 18 de diciembre de 2009

AMERICANS : Don`t dream with a big "DOLLAR RALLY"

Ok, the US Media is telling "oH..A BIG DOLLAR RALLY IS COMING...GRAB THE MASONIC-NOMINATED DOLLARS...! GO DOLLAR GO.

Don`t dream!
barack O-SCAM-A , just like all the CFR presidents you have, are following the agenda.

YOu may see the euro crashing. you may see the stock market going down "big time" in the first semester of 2010.

And yes, you may see a dollar rally . But It won`t be a "big dollar rally". Chinese and all the central banks will use this to "SELL IN THE STRENGTH". They will take the advantage.

they will keep unloading it.

The China central banker has just said that:

http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601080&sid=aLHD8QY9fQsU

Bank of ISRAEL governor is telling "you must accept a weaker dollar"
http://www.ktradionetwork.com/2009/12/07/bank-of-israel-governer-says-world-must-accept-weaker-dollar/


Gulf countries getting together for a "new currency"

http://online.wsj.com/article/BT-CO-20091215-716787.html


They are all running. You will see the "effects" cleary in 2010.



and guess what: MORE DEFICITS FOR 2010 IN THE USA.

Please, don`t dream with big dreams.

Dollar will keep dying in 2010. maybe it will get a "break". But people will keep unloading it.

See the big picture. see the long term. Commit part of your savings to "load the precious ones" every month should new dips .

Maybe we get the "Israel-Iran"scenario soon. The web is crazy sending rumors about what is going to happen near -after christmas. Maybe it is just "usual" psy-ops. We don`t know really.

But WHAT WE DO is this:

1) Bernake won`t raise rates for a while ( financial tsunamis coming in 2010)
2) Inflation may accelerate a bit or a lot. Maybe they can control "inflation expectations" crashing crude oil. I really don`t know. But common sense is telling that gold and silver MUST achieve NEW HIGH RECORDS at least in the second semester of 2010.
3) Food shortages coming? Lots of fundamentals are screaming about solid floor for agriculture commodities. I like them. But don`t bet the farm. we can read that they may send the markets down in jan-feb 2010.

So this is the strategy folks for 2010. Get cash, buy silver , gold slowly .
If you don`t own gold go buy a bit for the long term
If you own gold , get more. But wait a bit. If the current floor is confirmed, go for it. I feel more volatilty and "risk aversion" must come in coming weeks.
Commit yourself to buy the dips the whole year. gold may surprise you. And a decoupling for the dollar may take place. the future for gold and silver is in the stars.

domingo, 22 de noviembre de 2009

SO, the dollar is going down BIG TIME 2010

So I keep reading about the dollar is going to go down EVEN FASTER in 2010.

I already joined goldmoney and I ask you to join goldmoney ( you may click on the banner on this website)


Run for gold. it`s seems a gold rush is coming now.

miércoles, 7 de octubre de 2009

WHAT TO BUY AGAINST INFLATION : MY WARNING!

This is a great warning.

I see "guru-type" newsletter telling INVESTORS "don`t buy gold, buy this instead..."articles

They are telling people to buy inflation-adjusted investment vehicles like TIPS or, some kind of ETF's that get "magically adjusted " in case of inflation ....the NUMBER of inflation MENTIONED BY THE GOVERNMENT.

Maybe I am not clear, but the point is:

one of the greatest scam during restructuring of the argentinian debt was to manipulate the INFLATION INDEX. So , investors accept new inflation-adjusted bonds because they felt it was a wise and amazing vehicle in a inflationary environment like Argentina. They thought they were smart.
The government tricked the inflation index. And investors suffered since they did not get or won`t get "inflation adjusted income". A nice scam :) So you want to protect yourself against inflation and against your government? Then dont buy investment that DEPENDS of a BUROCRAT decision.

if you want a real protection against the central banks, governments, and burocrats, buy something that "will adjust" and it is not a "investment fund", or a "ETF" , or a "ETN", or something that anyway con easily print ( like shares) and create more of it.
Buy they physical. It is hard to find the physical, it is hard to sell it, it is hard to smelt it.
You will learn that THIS IS THE ULTIMATE PROTECTION .
The physical gold or silver. Learn from the experience. Avoid "inflation-adjusted scam papers" investment vehicles.

martes, 6 de octubre de 2009

STOP STUPIDITY

GOLD, new record high today. Stop stupidity. Just watch the FED. They are printing and printing and printing. it`s gonna happen . You are gonna live it. Governments can deny it.
But you know the truth is "crystal clear".

If you see OBAMA cutting expenses all over the place.... If you see Bernanke moving rates UP big time, letting banks fail and stop printing money.
If you se the dismantling of the Great American Army...cut programs.... Maybe I AM WRONG.

Otherwise, the dollar WILL CRASH BIG TIME. AND YOU ARE GONNA LIVE IT.

DON`T TRUST THE MEDIA. DON`T TRUST THE TALKING HEAD. Trust the analyst WHO HAVE ALREADY BEEN THERE BEFORE. TRUST THOSE HONEST PEOPLE WHO ALREADY LIVED THROUGH bank holidays, devaluations, currency collapse. Trust the experience and the honesty.

Protect yourself . 1000 U$S is cheap for the medium term.

viernes, 2 de octubre de 2009

US TREASURY : THEY ARE CRAZY

THE US TREASURY WILL ask for 140 billion dollars only next week.
They are just crazy. It seems they won`t stop this madness until they crash the dollar.

That`s today market capitalization of BANK OF AMERICA.

They are just crazy.

Dollar carry trade will keep placing presure.

Gold is feeling very comfortable above 990$ and 1000$. Commercials closing shorts on gold.

There is no "green shots": Unemployment ( the official) will go up to 12% next year. Real unemployement will be even higher next year.

I am still wondering if the dollar crash will be this year or next year. I would really expect to see the dollar 8% lower against major currencies soon. Maybe before end of the year. Maybe even more than 8%.

I wonder when this madness will stop.

sábado, 15 de agosto de 2009

HOW CAN AMERICA STEAL MONEY FROM CHINA EASILY

HELLO,

So we can read on the WSJ THIS:

U.S., in Nod to China, to Sell More TIPS
The Treasury Department, responding to growing demand from China and other investors, will boost the sale of inflation-protected bonds that hold their value as consumer prices rise.
"We continue to hear growing demand for the product," Treasury Deputy Assistant Secretary for Federal Financing Matt Rutherford said at a news conference announcing the plan on Wednesday.
The decision to increase sales of Treasury Inflation-Protected Securities, or TIPS, is part of a broader effort to ensure there is enough demand for Treasury bonds to help the U.S. finance its swelling budget deficit. The Treasury already has issued a record amount of debt in the past year, and the department said Wednesday it will sell a record $75 billion next week.

In particular, Treasury officials need to ensure demand from China, the largest holder of U.S. government debt. Last week's auctions of fixed-rate notes saw lukewarm demand from China and other investors. Chinese officials had indicated they want inflation-protected securities, especially as the U.S. economy starts to recover.
"Inflation is the No. 1 worry," said Marc Chandler, global head of currency strategy for Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. "This is the government saying, 'We will take that inflation risk away from you.'"
Even with an increase, TIPS would remain a fraction of the overall market for Treasurys. Of the $6.66 trillion of government bonds issued between Oct. 1, 2008 and June 30 of this year, just $44 billion were TIPS.
The Treasury could easily sell as much as $10 billion more, said Jeffrey Elswick, director of fixed income at Frost Investment Advisors LLC. But those extra sales mightn't be such great news for existing owners of inflation-protected notes. If the Treasury continues to ramp up TIPS sales, it will "cheapen" the bonds of existing investors, said Don Martin, a financial planner with Mayflower Capital in Los Altos, Calif.
The value of the securities fell after the announcement, sending the gap between TIPS and comparable nominal notes to a two-month high. The gap ended at 1.93 percentage points, signaling that investors expect annualized inflation of 1.93% over the next decade.

The Treasury also said it may issue 30-year TIPS in place of 20-year TIPS.


http://online.wsj.com/article/SB124951450326009277.html


SO: do you have a already tested plan to steal money to bond holders? It is a succesful methodology to secretly steal money from YOUR CREDITORS.

YES AMERICA, YOU CAN DO IT TOO.

Just underweight energy and food prices A BIT MORE and overweight those laggish components in your CPI INDEXES. AND VOILA: you have cheated your creditors.

You can do this. Argentina has done this , stealing millions and millions of dollars cheating its creditors....!

You are deep in debt, so take this piece of advice. You will need it! The system will fail anyway. Maybe you can win some time...


Mr Chinaman wherever you are: don`t ask for more "inflation protection" on your thin air created paper. Just grab the physical and pray .

sábado, 18 de julio de 2009

How to get ready for a bank Holiday

Hi, there are rumors that bank holiday is coming for the USA.




Bob Chapman is telling that reliable sources had told him that the USA is preparing for a bank holiday in August-september 2009.
Rumor has it that Us Embassies are buying foreing currencies in advanced because troubled times are ahead.

Some tricks for a bank holiday and from the REAL EXPERIENCE let me tell you this:

1) people who is sicked and need the money for medical procedures may not get the money soon enough , so people in extreme medical conditions who need money at the bank may die because of withdrawal limits. Lots of sicked-money at the bank- trapped people died in the last big financial collapse in this continent, which was the Argentinian collapse of 2001.
2) It is a very nasty experience not being able to withdraw your money. Violence at bank branches are common things in a "bank holiday environment". Bank employees may get their most stressful times at work with a bank holiday. Violence will be present. Suicidal customers and nervous customers may be also present at the bank office.
3) In a corrupt country, it should be easy to use some contacts or friends in the Justice who can get your a quick-approved "justice order" to get the money. A real "justice-orders" to get the money industry will appear. Lawyers , justice employees and justice authorities may have a party with a bank holiday
4) Find "holes" in the legal system. When the bank holiday happened in Argentina, "withdrawal limits" were not a requirement for SENIOR CITIZENS. SO WHAT WAS THE TRICK?
MAKE A SENIOR CITIZEN A CO-OWNER OF bank accounts. The exception to the law was: "senior citizens, due to their need of income don`t get withdrawal limits the size that ordinary population". That depends on the country. I don`t know if I explained this correctly , but I hope you got the point.
5) If bank holiday must be in placed for WEEKS then withdrawal limits will be a reality.
Bank clerks WILL BE the people who will find the way to overcome the withdrawal limits since they may open for themselves several bank accounts and then withdraw from each of the accounts up to the maximum amount. If you fear of a bank holiday then open several accounts, send some money outside your country, convert the money to physical things like gold , silver or something that you can trade for.
6) Try to get a friend who is a bank clerk. He should find the way "out of the mess" and bring you more results faster than a lawyer.
7) If you don`t feel sure, just don`t keep too much money at the bank. Or open a foreing bank account.
8) Bank holidays and withdrawal limits come overnight. Don`t expect a Obama giving a speech so you will learn in advanced. Maybe they can send you some "buzz words". But you won`t give a prior notice.
9) Argentinian traders found loopholes and exploited the system in their favor. One trick was that they bought Argentinian stocks that were being traded at a foreing exchange like Us markets. They bought the certificates in the Argentinian market and liquidate or close the position in the foreign market. ( Example: they bought a argentinian bank stock in ARgentina and sell the same stock in the US market ). hope you got the point here. They got the money in a us bank account. No withdrawals and away from argentinian banks. Very nice trick. The government was very slow to detect this.
10) Prepare in advanced. It won`t hurt you and may be free. You could save lots of money . If this is true, you only got no more than 90 days.



Hope you enjoy these 10 tips.

miércoles, 3 de junio de 2009

CALIFORNIA IS BUST:

California is broke. Did you know that before the argentinian collapse, the most important province was broke too?

Re-read the patterns.

And prepare.


jueves, 28 de mayo de 2009

jueves, 21 de mayo de 2009

OK THIS IS IT

DOLLAR HAS STARTED ITS COLLAPSE TODAY.
THE BEGINING OF THE END HAS ARRIVED.

YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED WAY IN ADVANCED.

WELCOME TO A NEW REALITY.

viernes, 8 de mayo de 2009

IT IS COMING

REMEMBER WHAT I TOLD YOU




BOND MARKET IS GETTING NERVOUS. IT IS GETTING NERVOUS. IT IS COMING.




THE PATTERNS ARE PREDICTING THIS.


sábado, 25 de abril de 2009

OOH MY GOD....

IN THE 90'S, AN ECONOMIC MODEL WAS IMPLEMENTED BY A MINISTER NAMED "CAVALLO". THE GUY PUT THE FIXED-RATE SYSTE IN PLACE.
WHEN THE COUNTRY WAS ABOUT TO COLLAPSE, THE NEW PRESIDENT CALLED HIM HIN. AND HE TOOK CHARGE. THEN THE COUNTRY COLLAPSED.
FERNANDO DE LA RUA, EX ARGENTINIAN PRESIDENT, BROUGHT AS HIS ECONOMY MINISTER THE SAME GUY THAT CREATED THE MESS: DOMINGO F. CAVALLO

NOW SEE:

CLINTON HELPED TO CREATE THE BUBBLE. ALL THOSE GUYS LIKE RUBIN, SUMMERS...WERE DOING CRAZY THINGS TO DO ECONOMY, CHANGING REGULATIONS...

GUESS WHO IS THE PRESIDENT WHO IS BRINGING THE SAME GUYS : OBAMA!

R THEIR CLONING THE ARGENTINIAN COLLAPSE?

EVIDENCE OF PATTERNS REPEATING IN THE US COLLAPSE

HI, REMEMBER WHEN I TALKED ABOUT THE "PATTERNS"?
WELL , NOW STATES ARE GOING TO RECEIVE BAIL OUTS! JUST LIKE IN ARGENTINA PRE -COLLAPSING MOMENTS

ONE OF THE PATTERNS I MENTIONED THAT ARE VISIBLE IN A PRE COLLAPSING ECONOMY IS THAT STATES OR PROVINCES GO DOWN BEFORE THE FEDERAL STATE.

THIS IS HAPPENING IN THE USA RIGHT NOW.

READ THIS NEWS (04/24/2009):

http://finance.yahoo.com/tech-ticker/article/236546/The-Next-Big-Bailout-State-and-Local-Governments?tickers=GM,F,DOW,PZA,SHM,TBT,GS


THE US COLLAPSE LOOKS SO SIMILAR TO THE ARGENTINIAN COLLAPSE THAT IT IS JUST AMAZING!

YOU HAVE BEEN WARNED

viernes, 27 de febrero de 2009

The worst february since the 1930's

Wall Street had the worst February since the 30's.

US government keeps spending, printing, printing, bailing out zombie and unproductive companies or banks. DOOM is guaranteed.
Have you seen OIL waking up lately? Yes, you have witnessed it. Gold will go back maybe to 900's and get back to 1000's.
March will be a nasty month. Surprise are coming.
Total collapse will take place before summer 2009. By summer 2009, the picture will be really ugly.

I can provide you with more proofs and details. Most of the US population will keep themselves in denial. Not all the people with act properly. They don`t have experience in financial meltdowns. So one of the Biggest Robberies are coming. A Massive financial Rape is coming too.
2009 is the year.

You only need to see the patterns.

martes, 10 de febrero de 2009

The incoming collapse

United States economy is collapsing. It`s easy to see from a foreign eye.
It is not hard to understand that a phony economy being financed by oil prices ( high oil prices>> OPEC reserves>>> purchases of T-Bills >> guess what happens when oil collapsed > no money to buy T-Bills > the system has been already engineered to fail.

It is very easy, very similar patterns. A collapse will take place in less than 12 months or less.

viernes, 6 de febrero de 2009

PROTECT YOUR IRA's

Protect your IRA's inmediately. Send your money away from USA. Protect it with gold and silver.
I think goldmoney.com can handle IRA'S.

Start your research.

Best wishes.

miércoles, 4 de febrero de 2009

A MARKET COLLAPSE IS COMING

MARKET IS GETTING EXTREMELY NERVOUS.
A MARKET CRASH IS IN THE AIR.
MAYBE IN THE NEXT 20 DAYS WE ARE GOING TO SEE IT.

lunes, 26 de enero de 2009

Strongman Shelford 's experience and predictions with meltdowns for YOU NOW.

Hi . You all know me
For those who don`t know me, I am a bank analyst in South America .
I trading stocks for almost more than 10 years. I followed the US markets for years too.
I have lived my first hyperinflation times in full conciousness at the age of 9.
I remembered those times in a very clear way.
Times like 50% inflation per MONTH OR MORE. yES. Prices just double in matter of weeks.
I remembered the people talking about the DOLLAR ( save haven) every day every week.
The key was to collect your month pay, and run to buy all the food and stuff.
I remember that While we were shopping , a food store employee was changing prices with some kind of machine, can by can, product by product.
The key was to grab your food to the cashier before it got the new "price tag". ( not all the food store owned those codbars systems like now).

Life made me live in full consciouness the Argentinian collapse in 2001.
Just like the Iceland collapse of now.

Bank run, devaluation overnight... freezing bank accounts, mess, president and economy minister escaping in a helicopter... food shortages... riots...the whole mess.


I got a business degree some years after the collapse at a very prestigious university . With this knowledge, I looked backward and I could understand the crisis very well. There are "Patterns" developing before a total meltdown.


I am trying to build your confidence in my words. Since I am afraid to tell you that most of the American people and certainly most of the people in the planet CANNOT ACCEPT THAT AMERICA IS HEADING TO A TOTAL MELTDOWN SOON. I DON`T UNDERSTAND WHY PEOPLE LIVE IN DENIAL.
I HAVE ALERTED FRIENDS, RELATIVES, and even some co-workers.

But people live in "denial". America is "super power". "The dollar will not collapse." " It is "safe haven" for all the countries... " So, the whole sheeple of all the countries around the world live in denial about this great event that is going to take place , i believe, this year or next year.

I read 2 or 3 hours per day news from all around the world ( business news , market news: CNBC,BLOOMBERg,CNN MONEY,blogs, message boards, you name it).

And you can see a "shift in the paradigm" and these patterns developing that is SO CLEAR that you can`t believe why so many people cannot see it.

This guy , H. Paulson was a crook right?
Ok, now there is another "crook" who is taking care of the "Treasury" ( being looted thorough "stimulus package" and providing a real party of inside trading there for crook friends)

The new guy, T. Geithner> he is starting very well! ( Senate look away "his tax income issues" ...LOL)
AND THE arrogant stupid is telling CHINA ( country with the power to decide when USA is going to collapse) "hey you are manipulating your currency".
China, with their chinese patience, politely responded "mind your own business , moron. Eh, No, I am not interested in bringing you chaos right now. Go play with your printing press for now..."
IT is just unbeliavable.
And the SOLUTION: BUY THE PROBLEM. YES . Just create a bank to dump the garbage...or nationalize all the banks. let`s "buy the problem". LOL.
YOU CAN`T BUY THE PROBLEM!!! They are just winning time ( a.k.a looting the treasury to last moment) before everything goes to hell.

THE PATTERNS MENTIONED HERE ARE:

1) STATES or provinces collapse BEFORE federal government ( it happens in all collapsing economies. Just read economic history)

>> Pattern visible in USA: California and other states

2) DEBT/GDP > above 100% and rising
>> I think is above 300% ( not counting the biggest liabilities I think)

3) FISCAL DEFICIT AND TRADE DEFICIT

>> This was the thing that brought Argentina to its knees.
>> USA is totally visible. Both "twin deficits" formed a "guaranteed" pattern of doom.

4) The politicians "keep spending to the end"

>> These happened in most of the countries which headed quickly to total collapse. This is clearly visible in USA. The incoming president proposed the "Change" and brought more of 3) More deficit ( Obama plan 1 trillion dollar in february 2009)
This is EXACTLY what happened in Argentina. The "new president" proposed the "change", but he brought more spending and country collapsed later. He escaped in a helicopter.

5) Smart money escaped to foreign assets or hard assets.
>I am TIRED of reading about this. Thank GOD THERE IS smart and honest PEOPLE warning there like Peter Schiff to the sheeple masses.

6) Honest politicians are ignored or "minimized" by MAIN MEDIA.
>>> this is what happened to Ron Paul. They only congressman I heard that understood very well the situation of the general economy. Maybe there are more out there. I don`t know.

7) In this kind of "BIG meltdowns" people live "above their credit possibilites" too. Not just the government.
> pattern is clearly visible too. A "credit card bubble" and "home equity spending" ( home equity spending, that is just amazing! Americans do it big)

8) A minority of smart people started to get ready for the collapse.
> There is always a "smart minority" that take advantage of meltdowns.
I will tell you WHAT WAS THE BIGGEST BUSINESS in Argentina :

a) take a mortgage loan
b) buy a house ( in USA is difficult since a housing bubble burst simultaneously, so maybe it is not a fully applicable for the US meltdown)
c) convert all your saving to foreing and safe assets
d) wait overnight devaluation
e) brinng back your assets .
f) cancel your debt.
g) Shazaaam! A house for a tiny part of your savings! Well done !


Ok, enough of economic history.

Bond bubble is starting to burst.

gold & silver is moving up again.


1) Be careful with your pension "money" ( IRA)
2) Keep your money safe in PHYSICAL ASSETS AND SAFE ASSETS LIKE GOLD IN SWITZERLAND
uSE GOLDMONEY IF YOU WANT OR OTHER SOLUTIONS
3) Don`t DENY THE INCOMING COLLAPSE. IT CAN TAKE TIME, BUT IT WILL ARRIVE.


These are my best wishes for all you.

It took me 20 minutes think and write this for you. I am sure it will help, and save you money!

Best wishes.

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